Week 17 is quickly approaching, and there are a ton of player props available on the betting market. For thishttps://www.bbcsport247.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/49ers-16×9-1.webp reason, we’ve put up the NFL betting playbook, which includes some of the best selections for everyhttps://www.bbcsport247.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/49ers-16×9-1.webp game.https://www.bbcsport247.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/49ers-16×9-1.webphttps://www.bbcsport247.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/49ers-16×9-1.webp
The NFL Betting Props Playbook for Week 17The NFL Betting Props Playbook for Week 17The NFL Betting Props Playbook for Week 17The NFL Betting Props Playbook for Week 17
Micah Parsons under 2.5 solos (+105): Parsons has fallen short of three solo tackles in 13 out of 15 games this season, with the exceptions coming back in Weeks 2 and 9. He’s averaging 1.8 per game, despite playing a substantial offensive role (80% snap share). Brian Branch under 3.5 solos (-115): We lost on this same line last week, but I’m going right back to the well. Despite hitting the over with five solos last week, Branch was limited to 71% of snaps. He had been an every-down player earlier this season, but has been under 75% of snaps in three straight games. Detroit’s slot corner has now reached four solo tackles only four times in 13 games and two of those games were
Gus Edwards under 12.5 carries (–137): After Keaton Mitchell was sidelined for the season two weeks ago, it was thought that Edwards would be the obvious top rusher for Baltimore, but Justice Hill led the backfield in snaps (62%) and carries (10) in Week 16. Edwards handled nine carries while playing on 43% of snaps. In 10 of the 15 games played so far this season, including the past seven, the seasoned back has now failed to gain 13 carries. A Miami defense that has allowed 19.5 RB runs per game (16.5 over the previous eight games) will be up against him. Against Miami, eight backs had accumulated 13 carries; all but Joshua Kelley were obvious lead backs from Week 1.
Over 2.5 receptions, Bijan Robinson (-190): Week 16 saw Robinson return to form after a dismal Week 15 due to windy and wet circumstances. He recorded career-high marks in targets (10) and catches (7). In four of his past five games, Robinson has seen at least five targets, and in each of those four appearances, he has made at least three receptions. Robinson is averaging 3.4 catches per game and has participated in 71% of Atlanta’s offensive snaps, excluding the now-famous “headache” game. This week, he faces an A+ defense at Chicago, which has given up the second-most RB receptions (98) and the seventh-highest catch percentage (82%). In their 15 games, sixteen backs had at least three catches versus them.
Derrick Henry under 57.5 running yards (-115): Henry is sixth in rushing yards and second in carries around the league, but his weekly average of 64.8 rushing yards per game is slightly over this mark. Six times out of fifteen games, including four of the previous seven, he has failed to get 58 yards. In Week 15, one of those “down games” took place against these same Texans. You read it right: Henry carried the ball nine yards on 16 occasions. With 1,035 RB running yards (fourth lowest) and a league-low 3.2 yards per carry, Houston boasts probably the finest run defense in the league. 58 running yards have been gained by six backs against them, with the most recent one being in Week 11.
Gardner Minshew over 0.5 INT (+125): This season, Minshew has thrown nine interceptions, with at least one coming in his previous ten games. The Raiders’ recent defensive improvement has allowed them to throw 12 interceptions in their previous 12 games, including at least one in nine of those contests. It’s simple to bite into this at plus money.
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